Iran: ISIS Reports
2012
No Obama Letter to Iran? January 20, 2012
Reality Check: Shorter and Shorter Timeframe if Iran Decides to Make Nuclear Weapons Rev.1
David Albright, Paul Brannan, Andrea Stricker and Andrew Ortendahl January 18, 2012
2011
No Visible Evidence of Explosion at Esfahan Nuclear Site; Adjacent Facility Razed December 8, 2011
Vyacheslav Danilenko – Background, Research, and Proliferation Concerns
Mark Gorwitz November 29, 2011
Satellite Image Showing Damage from November 12, 2011 Blast at Military Base in Iran
Paul Brannan November 28, 2011
Iran’s Ridiculous Distraction November 18, 2011
ISIS Analysis of IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Part II - Iran’s Work and Foreign Assistance on a Multipoint Initiation System for a Nuclear Weapon
David Albright, Paul Brannan, Mark Gorwitz and Andrea Stricker November 13, 2011
ISIS Analysis of IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Part 1 IAEA Details Evidence of Nuclear Weaponization Activities in Violation of the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty; Enrichment at Natanz Continues to Stagnate; Three Cascades of IR-1 Centrifuges Installed at Fordow, Low Enriched Uranium Cylinder Moved to Fordow
David Albright, Paul Brannan, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond November 8, 2011
Iran Nuclear Issue – Considerations for a Negotiated Outcome
John Carlson November 4, 2011
Debunking Gregory Jones Again
David Albright and Christina Walrond October 27, 2011
Iran’s Advanced Centrifuges
David Albright and Christina Walrond October 18, 2011
Performance of the IR-1 Centrifuge at Natanz
David Albright and Christina Walrond October 18, 2011
New Satellite Imagery of Iranian Nuclear Sites on Google Earth October 11, 2011
Ahmadinejad Reiterates Willingness to Halt 20 Percent Enrichment September 22, 2011
Determining the purpose of Iran’s growing stock of 19.75 percent enriched uranium : Production should be capped.
David Albright and Christina Walrond September 21, 2011
Natanz Enrichment Site: Boondoggle or Part of an Atomic Bomb Production Complex?
David Albright, Paul Brannan, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond September 21, 2011
Critique of a Recent Breakout Estimate at the Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP)*
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Christina Walrond September 20, 2011
Ahmadinejad and Abbasi-Davani at Odds on Enrichment Claims September 14, 2011
ISIS Analysis of the IAEA Iran Safeguards Report from September 2, 2011
David Albright, Paul Brannan, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond September 2, 2011
ISIS Analysis Part II: Iran’s Critique of May 24, 2011 IAEA Safeguards Report: More Obfuscation
Andrea Stricker September 2, 2011
Abbasi-Davani Interview on Iran’s 20 Percent Enrichment August 31, 2011
Two Recent Media Reports to Note on Iran’s Nuclear Program August 29, 2011
Iran Moving Centrifuges to Fordow August 24, 2011
Iran’s Critique of May 24, 2011 IAEA Safeguards Report: Arguments Not Based on Facts
Paul Brannan August 12, 2011
ISIS Analysis of Russian Proposal: Ask Iran to Come Clean on Nuclear Weaponization Before Removing Sanctions August 4, 2011
Iran Confirms Installation of Advanced Centrifuges July 19, 2011
Iran Reportedly Installing Advanced Centrifuges July 15, 2011
Iran to IAEA: Drop Nuclear Weaponization Investigation July 13, 2011
Case Study - IRISL and Affiliates Indicted on Financial Conspiracy Charges
Andrea Stricker July 8, 2011
Will Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani lead Iran to nuclear weapons? (Rev. 1)
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Stricker June 24, 2011
Ahmadinejad Announcement Laying Groundwork for Official Policy of Nuclear Ambiguity? June 23, 2011
Iran Signals Continued Delay in Ratifying Nuclear Safety Pact: Is the Bushehr Power Reactor Safe?
David Albright and Andrea Stricker June 22, 2011
UN Report Cites 2 Unreported Long-Range Iranian Missile Launches June 17, 2011
IAEA Worried about Ongoing Military Nuclear Work in Iran
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Stricker June 8, 2011
Moving 20 Percent Enrichment to Fordow: Slow Motion Breakout Continues?
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Stricker June 8, 2011
Time for Iran to Come Clean and Cooperate With the IAEA
David Albright and Paul Brannan June 7, 2011
ISIS Analysis of May 24, 2011 IAEA Safeguards Report on Iran (Revised May 25)
David Albright, Andrea Stricker and Christina Walrond May 24, 2011
Yadegari Appeal Denied by Canadian Court
Andrea Stricker April 14, 2011
IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Expansion of Natanz Enrichment Plant Lags (Rev. 1) ; LEU Production Not as High as Expected; Iran Readying Advanced Centrifuges for Deployment?
David Albright, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond February 25, 2011
Stuxnet Malware and Natanz: Update of ISIS December 22, 2010 Report
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Christina Walrond February 15, 2011
Case Study - A Smuggler’s Use of the U.S. Financial System to Receive Illegal Payments from Iran Updated February 11, 2011
Andrea Stricker February 11, 2011
2010
Did Stuxnet Take Out 1,000 Centrifuges at the Natanz Enrichment Plant? Preliminary Assessment
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Christina Walrond December 22, 2010
State Department Cables: Stopping Iran’s and North Korea’s Illicit Procurement for their Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Programs December 10, 2010
IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Shutdown of Enrichment at Natanz Result of Stuxnet Virus? Downgrade in Role of Fordow Enrichment Site; LEU Production May Have Decreased
David Albright, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond November 23, 2010
Stuxnet Worm Targets Automated Systems for Frequency Converters: Are Iranian Centrifuges the Target?
David Albright and Andrea Stricker November 17, 2010
Avoiding the Legitimization of Iranian Enrichment: Better to Discourage Options Involving the Conversion of Iran’s LEU Stock into Bushehr Reactor Fuel
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Stricker October 26, 2010
Chinese Firms Continue to Evade Iran Sanctions October 19, 2010
Comprehensive Piece on Iranian Military Equipment Smuggler and U.S. Sting Operation October 5, 2010
ISIS Analysis of New Covert Uranium Enrichment Plant Construction Claims September 9, 2010
IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Iran Degrading Safeguards Effectiveness; Low Enriched Uranium Production Holds Steady
David Albright and Paul Brannan; Charts prepared by Christina Walrond September 6, 2010
Technical Note: Iran Recycles the Tails in the Production of 19.75 Percent Uranium August 6, 2010
Case Study - Yadegari Sentenced to 20 Months Plus Time Served ; Worked for Procurement Ring that Supplied Iran’s Enrichment Program
Andrea Stricker August 2, 2010
What is Iran’s competence in operating centrifuges?
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Stricker July 26, 2010
Case Study - Update: New Charges for Irish Company Suspected of Military Exports to Iran
Andrea Stricker July 16, 2010
Has Iran initiated a slow motion breakout to a nuclear weapon?
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Stricker July 12, 2010
Man Suspected of Illicit Nuclear Trade to Iran Found Guilty July 6, 2010
Eli Lake’s New Report and the Inadvertent Conflation of Sources About the Notorious Tinner Family July 2, 2010
New Der Spiegel Article on Iran’s Nuclear Program June 21, 2010
Taking Stock of the Production of 19.75 Percent Uranium at the PFEP
by David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Jacqueline Shire June 11, 2010
IAEA Iran Report: Enrichment Increases Slightly; Lack of Adequate Safeguards
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire
Charts prepared by Christina Walrond May 31, 2010
Was Kakavand’s Acquittal Part of a Quid Pro Quo with Iran? - Update II May 19, 2010
Iran’s Proposed LEU deal: Skeptical but Awaiting Clarification May 17, 2010
Update: U.S. Extradition Request Denied in France for Alleged Iranian Military Parts Smuggler May 12, 2010
Iran’s new centrifuge: What do we know about it?
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire, and Paul Brannan April 13, 2010
Defected Iranian Nuclear Scientist Reportedly Worked Across from Secret Nuclear Weapons R&D Facility March 31, 2010
Supplement to Iran’s Gas Centrifuge Program: Taking Stock
David Albright and Christina Walrond March 3, 2010
IAEA Report on Iran: Enrichment at Natanz improving; entire LEU tank moved to PFEP ; no progress on weaponization February 18, 2010
French Court Delays Decision over Extradition of Majid Kakavand February 17, 2010
Busting the Members at the Core of Iran’s Smuggling Networks for Nuclear, Missile, and Conventional Military Goods*
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Scheel Stricker February 16, 2010
Case Study - Inventive U.S. Sting Operation Catches Iran-Based Military Equipment Smuggler
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel Stricker February 16, 2010
Case Study - Former Iranian Ambassador Arrested in UK for Alleged Iran-Directed Smuggling Scheme
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Scheel Stricker February 16, 2010
Case Study - Middleman Majid Kakavand Arrested for Malaysia-Based Iranian Illicit Procurement Scheme
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Scheel Stricker February 16, 2010
Case Study - Arrest Made in Germany of Core Iranian Procurement Agent
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Scheel Stricker February 16, 2010
Iran’s Gas Centrifuge Program: Taking Stock
David Albright and Christina Walrond February 11, 2010
Iran’s enrichment for the Tehran Research Reactor: Update
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire February 9, 2010
Iran’s recent statements about production of fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor: A quick review
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire February 8, 2010
Questions and Answers regarding Iranian document: “Outlook for special neutron-related activities over the next 4 years” January 5, 2010
2009
Iran’s Uranium Stockpile Dwindling
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire December 30, 2009
The Trials of the German-Iranian Trader Mohsen Vanaki: The German Federal Intelligence Service Assesses that Iran Likely Has a Nuclear Weapons Program (Updated for December 15, 2009)
David Albright and Christina Walrond December 15, 2009
Documents Assessing the Organizational Structure of FEDAT December 14, 2009
Farsi and English Versions of Document on Neutron Initiator December 14, 2009
New Document Reopens Question on Whether Iran’s Nuclear Weaponization Work Continued Past 2003 December 14, 2009
Further Comments Regarding the BAS Article on Fordow
David Albright and Paul Brannan December 4, 2009
Critique of Recent Bulletin of Atomic Scientists article on the Fordow Enrichment Plant
David Albright and Paul Brannan November 30, 2009
New Satellite Image Further Narrows Fordow Construction Start Date
Paul Brannan November 18, 2009
IAEA Report on Iran: Fordow enrichment plant at “advanced stage of construction;” decline in number of P1 centrifuges enriching but P1 centrifuge efficiency increases; discovery of previously unknown stock of heavy water
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire November 16, 2009
Satellite Imagery Narrows Qom Enrichment Facility Construction Start Date
Paul Brannan November 5, 2009
Case Study - Update: Smuggler Previously Convicted of Aircraft Export Control Violations; Disguised Company as a Larger Operation
Andrea Scheel Stricker October 23, 2009
Case Study - Decision Reached on Vanaki Case: Landgericht Finds Defendant Guilty, Issues Suspended Sentence
David Albright and Christina Walrond October 23, 2009
Case Study - The Trials of the German-Iranian Trader Mohsen Vanaki: The German Federal Intelligence Service Assesses that Iran Likely Has a Nuclear Weapons Program
David Albright and Christina Walrond October 23, 2009
Technical Note: Annual Future Low-Enriched Uranium Fuel Requirements for the Tehran Research Reactor
David Albright October 7, 2009
Timeline 1967-1993: Argentine Low-Enriched Uranium at the Tehran Research Reactor
Christina Walrond October 7, 2009
Excerpts from Internal IAEA Document on Alleged Iranian Nuclear Weaponization October 2, 2009
Qom Gas Centrifuge Uranium Enrichment Site in Iran May Have Been Re-purposed Tunnel Facility
Paul Brannan September 29, 2009
Suspected Qom Enrichment Plant Site Imagery Overlay by Ogle Earth September 28, 2009
New Satellite Imagery of Suspected Gas Centrifuge Site Near Qom, Iran September 27, 2009
Satellite Imagery of Two Possible Sites of the Qom Enrichment Facility in Iran September 25, 2009
U.S. statements regarding the disclosure of the Qom enrichment plant September 25, 2009
What is Venezuela Up To? Chavez’s Latest Efforts to Purchase Nuclear Technology are Cause for Concern
Andrea Scheel September 22, 2009
Natanz Enrichment Plant: How to Measure Progress
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Jacqueline Shire September 1, 2009
ISIS Analysis of the August 2009 IAEA Report on Iran: Centrifuges increase; Rate of LEU production steady; progress on inspection requests at Arak and Natanz; no progress on possible military dimensions
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Jacqueline Shire August 28, 2009
Update on the Arak Heavy Water Reactor in Iran August 25, 2009
Mysteries Deepen Over Status of Arak Reactor Project
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Robert Kelley August 11, 2009
Case Study - A Smuggler’s Procurement of Nuclear Dual-Use Pressure Transducers for Iran
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel July 14, 2009
Misconceptions about Iran’s Nuclear Program
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire July 8, 2009
IAEA Report on Iran: Centrifuge and LEU increases; access to Arak reactor denied; no progress on outstanding issues
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire June 5, 2009
Case Study - Iran’s Procurement of U.S. Military Aircraft Parts: Two case studies in illicit trade
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel May 21, 2009
Video Tour of Iranian Nuclear Sites April 10, 2009
Nuclear Weapon Breakout Scenarios: Correcting the Record
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan March 18, 2009
Issue Brief on Official Statements regarding Iran March 12, 2009
Is Iran Running Out of Yellowcake?
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan February 11, 2009
Case Study - A Company’s Discretion Detects Large Iranian Valve Orders by Scrutinizing Items and End-Users Instead of Lists
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel January 28, 2009
Nuclear Iran: Not Inevitable
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel January 21, 2009
Case Study - How Cooperation between a Company and Government Authorities Disrupted a Sophisticated Illicit Iranian Procurement
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Andrea Scheel January 12, 2009
Case Study - Iranian Entities’ Illicit Military Procurement Networks
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Andrea Scheel January 12, 2009
2008
Has Iran Achieved a Nuclear Weapons Breakout Capability? Not Yet, But Soon.
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire, and Paul Brannan December 2, 2008
IAEA Report on Iran: Enriched Uranium Output Steady; Centrifuge Numbers Expected to Increase Dramatically; Arak Reactor Verification Blocked
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire, and Paul Brannan November 19, 2008
Arak Heavy Water Reactor Construction Progressing
David Albright and Paul Brannan November 13, 2008
Unprecedented Projected Nuclear Growth in the Middle East: Now is the Time to Create Effective Barriers to Proliferation
David Albright and Andrea Scheel November 12, 2008
Centrifuge Operation Significantly Improving; Gridlock on Alleged Weaponization Issues Analysis of the September 15, 2008 IAEA Report on Iran
David Albright, Paul Brannan and Jacqueline Shire September 15, 2008
Can military strikes destroy Iran’s gas centrifuge program? Probably not.
David Albright, Paul Brannan, and Jacqueline Shire August 7, 2008
May 26, 2008 IAEA Safeguards Report on Iran: Centrifuge Operation Improving and Cooperation Lacking on Weaponization Issues Rev. 2
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire, and Paul Brannan May 29, 2008
Briefing notes from February 2008 IAEA meeting regarding Iran’s nuclear program April 11, 2008
Presidential Candidates on Iran’s Nuclear Program
Jelena Avramovic and Andrea Scheel February 22, 2008
IAEA Iran latest—A Balanced Safeguards Report
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire February 22, 2008
Iran Installing More Advanced Centrifuges at Natanz Pilot Enrichment Plant: Factsheet on the P-2/IR-2 Centrifuge
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire February 7, 2008
2007
November IAEA Report: Centrifuge File Not Closed; Natanz Enrichment Expands
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire November 15, 2007
A Witches’ Brew? Evaluating Iran’s Uranium-Enrichment Progress
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire November 1, 2007
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What the 2008 Presidential Candidates are Saying
Jelena Avramovic and Andrea Scheel October 17, 2007
IAEA Safeguards Report on Iran: Limited Progress in enrichment; controversial strategy on outstanding issues; continued defiance of UN Security Council
Jacqueline Shire and David Albright August 30, 2007
A Flawed IAEA-IRAN Agreement On Resolving Outstanding Issues
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire August 28, 2007
New Tunnel Construction at Mountain Adjacent to the Natanz Enrichment Complex Iran should allow IAEA inspections of tunnel facility
David Albright and Paul Brannan July 9, 2007
IAEA Safeguards Report on Iran: Iran making progress but not yet reliably operating an enrichment plant
David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan May 25, 2007
ISIS Imagery Brief: Further Construction at Arak 40 MW Heavy Water Reactor
David Albright and Paul Brannan March 20, 2007
Iran’s Centrifuges: How well are they working?
Jacqueline Shire and David Albright March 15, 2007
2006
Latest IAEA Report on Iran: Continued Progress on Cascade Operations, No New Cooperation with IAEA
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire November 14, 2006
Iran’s Nuclear Program: Flawed House Intelligence Committee Report Should Be Amended or Withdrawn
Jacqueline Shire and David Albright November 9, 2006
Iran’s NPT Violations – Numerous and Possibly On-Going?
Jacqueline Shire and David Albright September 29, 2006
Iran’s Response to the EU: Confused but Sporadically Hopeful
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire September 11, 2006
Iran’s Centrifuge Program: Defiant but Delayed
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire August 31, 2006
IAEA Inspectors and Iran Clash Over Frequency of Inspections of Underground Facilities
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire August 23, 2006
Better Carrots, Not Centrifuges: Why Iran must halt enrichment and How the U.S. can make it happen
David Albright and Jacqueline Shire July 10, 2006
When Could Iran Get the Bomb? July 1, 2006
ISIS Imagery Brief: Update on Construction Activities at Arak 40 MW Heavy Water Reactor
Paul Brannan and David Albright April 21, 2006
ISIS Imagery Brief: New Activities at the Esfahan and Natanz Nuclear Sites in Iran
Paul Brannan and David Albright April 14, 2006
The Clock is Ticking, But How Fast?
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein March 27, 2006
ISIS Imagery Brief: New Satellite Image of the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Complex in Iran January 13, 2006
Iran’s Next Steps: Final Tests and the Construction of a Uranium Enrichment Plant
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein January 12, 2006
2005
Iran Proposal to the EU Falls Far Short of an Acceptable Agreement May 3, 2005
Tunnel Entrance to the Underground Facilities at Natanz, Iran May 2, 2005
ISIS Imagery Brief: Kalaye Electric March 31, 2005
Iran Should Grant the IAEA Further Access to Parchin March 24, 2005
New Satellite Images Show Tunnel Construction at Esfahan Facility in Iran February 17, 2005
2004
Countdown to Showdown November 1, 2004
Parchin: Possible Nuclear Weapons-Related Site in Iran
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein September 15, 2004
ISIS Imagery Brief: Destruction at Iranian Site Raises New Questions About Iran’s Nuclear Activities June 17, 2004
The Centrifuge Connection
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein March 1, 2004
2003
Iran, Player or Rogue? September 1, 2003
Furor over Fuel May 1, 2003
The Iranian Gas Centrifuge Uranium Enrichment Plant at Natanz: Drawing from Commercial Satellite Images
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein March 14, 2003
Iran at a Nuclear Crossroads
David Albright February 20, 2003
2002
Iran Building Nuclear Fuel Cycle Facilities: International Transparency Needed
David Albright and Corey Hinderstein December 12, 2002
1995
An Iranian bomb? July 1, 1995
1992
Spotlight Shifts to Iran March 1, 1992